Global Renewable Energy Wongororo 2020

Mukupindura kumamiriro akasarudzika kubva kudenda rekoronavirus, iyo yegore IEA Global Energy Ongororo yakawedzera kuvharwa kwayo kuti ibatanidze chaiyo-nguva ongororo yezvinoitika kusvika zvino muna 2020 uye nzira dzinogona kuitika kwegore rose.

Pamusoro pekuongorora 2019 simba uye CO2 emissions data nemafuta nenyika, yechikamu chino cheGlobal Energy Review takatsvaga kushandiswa kwesimba nenyika nemafuta mumwedzi mitatu yapfuura uye mune dzimwe nguva - semagetsi - munguva chaiyo.Kumwe kuronda kunoenderera mberi kwevhiki nevhiki.

Kusagadzikana kwakatenderedza hutano hweveruzhinji, hupfumi uye nekudaro simba pamusoro pegore rose ra2020 hazvisati zvamboitika.Ongororo iyi saka haingotaridzi nzira inogoneka yekushandisa simba uye CO2 kuburitsa muna 2020 asi zvakare inoburitsa zvinhu zvakawanda zvinogona kutungamira kune zvakasiyana.Isu tinotora zvidzidzo zvakakosha pamusoro pekufamba nedambudziko iri raimboitika muzana ramakore.

Denda razvino reCovid-19 riri pamusoro pedambudziko rehutano repasi rose.Kubva musi wa28 Kubvumbi, pakanga paine mazana matatu emamiriyoni emhosva dzakasimbiswa uye vanopfuura mazana maviri ezviuru vakafa nekuda kwehurwere.Nekuda kwekuyedza kudzikisira kupararira kwehutachiona, chikamu chekushandiswa kwesimba chakafumurwa kumatanho emidziyo chakasvetuka kubva pa5% pakati paKurume kusvika pa50% pakati paKubvumbi.Nyika dzinoverengeka dzeEurope neUnited States dzakazivisa kuti dziri kutarisira kuvhurazve zvikamu zvehupfumi muna Chivabvu, saka Kubvumbi unogona kunge uri mwedzi wakaoma zvakanyanya.

Kunze kwezvinokonzeresa hutano, dambudziko razvino rine zvarinoreva zvakanyanya kuhupfumi hwenyika, kushandiswa kwesimba uye kuburitswa kweCO2.Ongororo yedu yedata yezuva nezuva kusvika pakati paKubvumbi inoratidza kuti nyika dzakavharika zvizere dziri kusangana neavhareji 25% kuderera kwesimba rinodiwa pasvondo uye nyika dziri mukuvhara zvishoma avhareji 18% kudzikira.Zuva nezuva data rakaunganidzirwa nyika makumi matatu kusvika 14 Kubvumbi, inomiririra zvinopfuura zvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zvesimba repasi rose, inoratidza kuti kushushikana kwekuda kunoenderana nehurefu uye kusimba kwekuvhara.

Kudiwa kwesimba repasi rose kwakadzikira ne3.8% mukota yekutanga ya2020, nehuwandu hwekukanganisika hwakanzwika munaKurume sezvo nzira dzekuvharirwa dzakaitwa muEurope, North America nekumwewo.

• Kudiwa kwemarasha epasi rose kwakarohwa zvakanyanya, kudonha neinenge 8% zvichienzaniswa nekota yekutanga ye2019. Zvikonzero zvitatu zvakasangana kutsanangura kudonha uku.China - hupfumi hwakavakirwa pamarasha - ndiyo yaive nyika yakanyanya kurohwa neCovid-19 muchikamu chekutanga;gasi rakachipa uye kuenderera mberi kwekukura mune renewables kune imwe nzvimbo yakapikisa marasha;uye kupfava kwekunze kwakavharawo marasha kushandiswa.
• Kudiwa kwemafuta kwakarohwawo zvakanyanya, kudzika kunosvika 5% mukota yekutanga, kunyanya nekudzikiswa kwekufamba uye kubhururuka nendege, izvo zvinosvika makumi matanhatu muzana ekudiwa kwemafuta epasi rose.Pakupera kwaKurume, chiitiko chepasi rose chekufambisa mumigwagwa chaive chinenge makumi mashanu muzana pazasi peavhareji ya2019 uye nendege 60% pazasi.
• Kukanganisa kwedenda pakudiwa kwegasi kwaive kuri pakati nepakati, kunosvika 2%, sezvo hupfumi hwegasi husina kukanganiswa zvakanyanya mukota yekutanga ya2020.
• Renewables ndiyo chete sosi yakatumira kukura kwekuda, inotungamirwa nehukuru hwakaiswa huwandu uye yekutanga kutumira.
• Kudiwa kwemagetsi kwakadzikiswa zvakanyanya nekuda kwematanho ekuvhara, nekugogodza-pamhedzisiro pamusanganiswa wemagetsi.Kudiwa kwemagetsi kwakadzvinyirirwa ne20% kana kupfuura panguva dzekuvharika kwakazara munyika dzinoverengeka, sezvo zvikwiriso zvekudiwa kwekugara zvakapfuura nekudzikiswa kwemabasa ekutengesa nemaindasitiri.Kwemavhiki, chimiro chekudiwa chakafanana neSvondo yakarebesa.Kuderedzwa kwekuda kwakasimudza chikamu chezvezvezve mumagetsi ekupa, sezvo kubuda kwavo kwakanyanya kusakanganiswa nezvinodiwa.Kudiwa kwakawira kune mamwe ese matsime emagetsi, kusanganisira marasha, gasi uye simba renyukireya.

Tichitarisa gore rakazara, tinoongorora mamiriro ezvinhu anoyera kukanganisa kwesimba kwekuderera kwakapararira kwepasi rose kunokonzerwa nezvirambidzo zvemwedzi yakareba pamusoro pekufamba uye zvemagariro uye zvehupfumi.Mukati memamiriro ezvinhu aya, kudzoreredza kubva pakadzika kwekudzikira kwekudzikira kunongoitika zvishoma nezvishoma uye kunoperekedzwa nekurasikirwa kukuru kwechigarire mukuita kwehupfumi, kunyangwe kuedza kukuru kwehupfumi hwenyika.

Mhedzisiro yemamiriro ezvinhu akadaro ndeyekuti simba rinoda zvibvumirano ne6%, hombe mumakore makumi manomwe muhuwandu hwematemu uye yakakura kupfuura yese zvachose.Kukanganisa kweCovid-19 pakudiwa kwesimba muna 2020 kungave kwakakura zvakapetwa kanomwe pane kukanganisa kwedambudziko remari ra2008 pakuda kwesimba repasi rose.

Mafuta ese achakanganiswa:

• Kudiwa kwemafuta kunogona kudonha ne9%, kana 9 mb/d paavhareji gore rose, kudzosa kushandiswa kwemafuta kumazinga a2012.
• Kudiwa kwemarasha kunogona kudzikira ne8%, muchikamu chikuru nekuti kudiwa kwemagetsi kunenge kwakaderera ne5% mukati megore.Kudzoreredza kudiwa kwemarasha kweindasitiri nekugadzirwa kwemagetsi muChina kunogona kudzikamisa kuderera kukuru kumwe kunhu.
• Kudiwa kwegasi kunogona kudonha zvakanyanya mukati megore rakazara kupfuura mukota yekutanga, nekudzikira kudiwa kwesimba uye maindasitiri ekushandisa.
• Kudiwa kwesimba renyukireya kunowirawo mukupindura kuderera kwemagetsi kudiwa.
• Renewables kudiwa kunotarisirwa kuwedzera nekuda kwemitengo yakaderera yekushandisa uye mukana wekuwana kune akawanda masisitimu emagetsi.Kukura kuchangoburwa muhukuru, mamwe mapurojekiti matsva anouya online muna 2020, aizowedzerawo kubuda.

Mufungidziro yedu ye2020, kudiwa kwemagetsi pasi rose kunodonha ne5%, nekudzikiswa negumi muzana mune mamwe matunhu.Low-kabhoni masosi aizopfuura kure chizvarwa chemarasha pasi rose, achiwedzera kutungamira kwakagadzwa muna 2019.

Global CO2 emissions inotarisirwa kudzikira ne8%, kana kuti ingangoita 2.6 gigatonnes (Gt), kusvika pamwero wemakore gumi apfuura.Kudzikiswa kwegore negore kwakadai kungave kwakakura kwazvo, kwakakura zvakapetwa katanhatu pane kuderedzwa kwerekodhi kwe0.4 Gt muna 2009 - kwakakonzerwa nedambudziko remari pasi rose - uye rakakura zvakapetwa kaviri sehuwandu hwakasanganiswa hwese kuderedzwa kwapfuura kubva kumagumo. yeHondo Yenyika II.Sezvo mushure mematambudziko apfuura, zvakadaro, kudzokororwa kwehutsi kunogona kunge kwakakura kudarika kudzikira, kunze kwekunge mafungu ekudyara kuti atangezve hupfumi akatsaurirwa kukuchenesa uye kusimba kwesimba remagetsi.